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WASHINGTON — In
one of the more unusual marriages that could result from the financial crisis,
buzz is growing that the Federal Home Loan banks might purchase the
government-controlled Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
By Steven
Sloan
WASHINGTON — In
one of the more unusual marriages that could result from the financial crisis,
buzz is growing that the Federal Home Loan banks might purchase the
government-controlled Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
The idea is very early in formation,
according to five sources, and nothing has been put in writing. It could
ultimately be shelved in favor of more straightforward approaches to Fannie and
Freddie, such as nationalization or privatization.
But if it comes to fruition, it could
put the 12 Home Loan banks in charge of their one-time competitors and finally
give the system something it has longed for — the ability to securitize
mortgages.
"Members need an avenue to securitize
their mortgages," said a source close to the Home Loan banks. "Unless we have a
healthy secondary market, it's going to be hard for mortgages to be made in this
country."
Fannie and Freddie were seized by the
government on Sept. 7 and the incoming Obama administration must decide how to
resolve the companies.
Many questions surround the idea,
including how Fannie and Freddie might be valued, how shareholders could be
satisfied, and whether all 12 Home Loan banks are interested. Representatives at
Fannie, Freddie and the Federal Housing Finance Agency did not
comment.
The biggest upside for the Home Loan
banks could be winning authority to securitize mortgages. The system has created
several programs, most notably the mortgage partnership finance program, to
become more competitive in the secondary market. But without securitization,
which regulators have refused to allow, these efforts have come up
short.
"The securitization business is probably
the most opportune business" that Fannie and Freddie have, said Alfred
DelliBovi, the president of the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York, who would
not take a position on whether the system should purchase Fannie and Freddie.
"It certainly is more viable than holding mortgages in
portfolio."
Other sources said a purchase would take
Fannie and Freddie off the government's hands and give the system far more
political strength and control of the mortgage
market.
Still, there would be steep hurdles to
clear. For one, the Home Loan banks are barred from holding publicly traded
stock. Though shareholders of Fannie and Freddie have been virtually wiped out
in the aftermath of the government conservatorship, their needs would still have
to be considered.
Another open question is whether the
Home Loan banks can afford to buy Fannie and Freddie. On June 30 the 12 banks
held $56.6 billion of capital, and some estimates suggest Fannie and Freddie
would need roughly $60 billion to become adequately
capitalized.
Some observers said that could be a
nonstarter for the system, since the Home Loan banks would likely have to tap
members for the needed capital. Member banks "in turn would have to go around
and raise that capital, and banks are strapped for capital as it is," said Bert
Ely, an independent analyst in Alexandria, Va.
Policymakers would also be faced with
questions over whether a sale to the Home Loan banks would resolve investor
confusion. When announcing the conservatorship in September, Treasury Secretary
Henry Paulson argued that the government-sponsored enterprises' status as
shareholder-owned companies that also serve public policy goals could not
continue.
Selling Fannie and Freddie to the Home
Loan banks, which are GSEs themselves, might not accomplish
that.
"I don't know how people would see the
cooperative, for-the-member approach at the Home Loan banks merge with the
large, portfolio … approach at Fannie and Freddie," said Jim Vogel, the head of
fixed-income research at First Horizon National Corp.'s FTN Financial Capital
Markets Corp."
While the idea of the Home Loan banks
purchasing the larger GSEs might seem outlandish, observers noted the system
owned Freddie until February 1990.
"This would be back to the future," said
Alex Pollock, a former president of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago who is now at the
American Enterprise Institute.
Richard
Caudle
Principal
12593 Research Blvd
Ste 301Austin,
TX 78759
(o)512-302-9410
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