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http://www.builderonline.com/local-markets/the-healthiest-housing-markets-for-2009.aspx
With most economists and builders expecting a national market
decline this year, this may not seem like the best time to be selecting
the "healthiest" markets in the country. Virtually every market was
down last year. But a close look at the numbers reveals that some
markets have way outperformed others during the last four years and are
likely to continue to do so this year. When the housing market
stages its official recovery, the markets listed on the following pages
are likely to lead the parade. It may take a year or more for the
weakest markets--where burgeoning foreclosure sales are still pounding
new home values, making building and selling new homes an exercise in
futility-- to finally stage a turnaround. We’ll present that list next
week. The healthiest markets have many things in common. Most of
them are great places to live, either close to the ocean, mountains, or
major universities. Most of them didn’t have a huge run-up in prices
during the boom and aren’t experiencing rampant deflation during the
bust. To compile these lists, we analyzed the top 75 housing
markets in the country. We ranked them based on population trends and
job growth, perennial drivers of housing demand. We also examined
what’s happened with home prices; many of the healthiest markets have
managed to hold the line on home values. And finally, we considered the
rate building permits, which may be the single best ongoing indicator
of builder confidence in a market. We combined all these metrics to
produce a score for each market. Here are the top 15, in reverse order at this link: http://www.builderonline.com/local-markets/the-healthiest-housing-markets-for-2009.aspx |